Businesses will likely spend more on software this year, as the global economy continues to recover. That’s good news for these market leaders, but Symantec’s focus on security puts it in a better position to benefit as more companies adopt cloud computing.
ADOBE SYSTEMS INC. $65 (Nasdaq symbol ADBE; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 497.7 million; Market cap: $32.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 8.3; No dividends paid since June 2005; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.adobe.com) earned $151.3 million, or $0.30 a share, in its fiscal 2014 first quarter, which ended February 28, 2014. That’s down 14.9% from $177.9 million, or $0.35, a year ago. Revenue fell 0.8%, to $1.00 billion from $1.01 billion.
The declines are mainly because Adobe is now selling its Creative Cloud package of photo-editing and desktop-publishing programs as a subscription instead of a one-time purchase. That hurts the company’s short-term growth, but it should provide stable revenue streams as more users switch over. Subscriptions now supply over half of Adobe’s revenue.
The company spends 21% of its revenue on research, which hurts its earnings. That’s partly why the stock trades at a high 59.1 times the $1.10 a share that Adobe will likely earn in fiscal 2014. A high p/e increases the risk of a sudden price drop if its growth stalls. As well, Adobe mainly serves customers in cyclical businesses, like publishing.
Adobe is a hold.
SYMANTEC CORP. $22 (Nasdaq symbol SYMC; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 691.7 million; Market cap: $15.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.4; Dividend yield: 2.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.symantec.com) sells antivirus software and other computer security services.
In Symantec’s fiscal 2014 fourth quarter, which ended March 28, 2014, its earnings rose 4.1%, to $329 million from $316 million a year earlier. Per-share earnings rose 6.8%, to $0.47 from $0.44, on fewer shares outstanding.
The gains were mainly due to savings from a new restructuring plan that includes job cuts and simplifying the company’s product lines. Revenue fell 5.6%, to $1.65 billion from $1.75 billion.
The company now expects to earn $1.84 to $1.92 a share for all of fiscal 2015. The stock trades at just 11.7 times the midpoint of that range, mainly due to investor uncertainty after Symantec fired its CEO over the slow progress of its restructuring.
Symantec continues to spend a high 17% of its revenue on research, which helps it adapt to rapidly changing technologies. In addition to preventing viruses and other attacks, it is also working on products that help clients recover data from infected computers. That should help spur its revenue growth.
Higher revenue will help the company increase its gross profit margin (gross profits as a percentage of revenue) from 27.5% in the latest quarter to at least 30% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2015.
Symantec is a buy.